Wii 10 mln. or PS3 5 mln. in Japan. Who first?

[ZorroX]

@ioi -
1) PS2 cost same as Wii cost now. PS3 is selling same as Wii so far.
2) PS2 slim launched by the end of October. Yeah, 8 week difference. Main boost of PS3 came on first 5 weeks. That will slow PS3 sales compared to PS2.
3) Because PS3 cost 40k yen, while PS2 cost 20-30k during Christmas season.
4) I think FFXIII will sell around 1.5 mln. first week. MGS4 sold around 500k first week with 2 mln. PS3. FFXIII is a bigger game, it will have atleast 30-35% attach rate of PS3 userbase(4.2-4.5 mln.).
5) I think, FFXIII will be more than enough. Tekken 6, Bayonetta, PES11 will help too.
6) PS2 was significantly cheaper than PS3.
7) Main difference, PS3 still has a small userbase in Japan, it has a lot of untapped Japan market left willing to buy PS3 at affordable 30k yen this Christmas.

Anyway, 2 months only left. We will see.