Why I predict First Week JPN FF13 sales to be 1.6 million

[ZorroX]

If MGS4 sold around 500k or almost same as MGS2 and MGS3 in their first week,
with only 2 mln. PS3 onwers.
Why can`t FFXIII do that? The much bigger game.

Probably PS3 will reach over 4 mln.(maybe even 4.5 mln.) userbase during the week of FFXIII release.
so 25% of userbase mean 1 mln. of First week sales will be a minimum for this game.

We have 8 week left, if average PS3 sales will be around 40-50k, then we will have over 4 mln. PS3 userbase by FFXIII release week.

01st Oct 09 Ninja Gaiden Sigma 2
01st Oct 09 Shin Sangoku Musou: MultiRaid Special
15th Oct 09 Uncharted: Ougontou to Kieta Sendan
29th Oct 09 Bayonetta
29th Oct 09 Tekken 6
05th Nov 09 3D Dot Game Heroes
12th Nov 09 Dragon Ball: Raging Blast
Nov-Dec 09 Resonance of Fate
Nov-Dec 09 Ratchet & Clank: A Crack in Time
03rd Dec 09 Assassin's Creed II
17th Dec 09 Final Fantasy XIII

The Slim launch with Gundam vs Christmas boost and Huge Game.
PS3 price is by 10k yen lower, than last year, it is now slim and for the first time get a Huge game.