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superchunk said:

This is what I predict

Black Wii in rest of world this holiday
Galaxy 2 and Metroid Other M before end of March
Some other big Nintendo service, like video streaming, before March
Holiday 2009 sales (oct-dec) will be dramatically higher than 2008's
     - holiday 2008 = 10.9 million units sold (still supply constrained)
     - holiday 2009 ~ 17m - give or take 5% (no constraints, lower price, and black Wii)

 

I predict sales will be dramatically lower than 2008 and will be in range of 7-8 million for the same period

Black Wii will stay in Japan only

Price cut effect will be closer to X360 elite price cut instead of PS3 slim release effect.

 

Altrough WSR and WF+ might have some really amazing sales in holiday season.



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