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Selling 350 k would meand it's sold to 1/10th of Wii owners in 4 days. That's not really bad, but I expect higher sales. over 500k would mean 1/6th of userbase in 4 days. That would be really good. Remember Mario is hardcore and casual as well. People will be waiting to give it as a New Year present or don't buy it launch date. Besides Wii games tend to have mediocre launches but good legs.

I expect 1 million by end of year.