| Slimebeast said: PS3 secured second place. Plus it has a decent chance to sell on par with the Wii for the rest of the gen. X360 70 million (40 mill more to go) Ps3 80 million (55 mill more to go) Wii 115 million (60 mill more to go) |
My end of gen predictions (and logic behind them):
Wii: 110-115 million
I'll say the wii just barely beats the PS3 by end of gen. On average since launch the wii has sold call it ~18-19 million units per year (I'm probably off a bit). I bet it continues on this pace for 5 years total for 90 million sales after 5 years. Then I think sales drop slightly to maybe 13-14 million in the 6th year with the announcement of a Wii 2 (or whatever they call it) for a total of ~103 million consoles. Then the wii slowly loses support but makes its way to 110-115 million by end of gen.
PS3: 100 million
The PS3 is on pace for about 80 million or more units by November 2016 (end of 10 year plan) based purely on average right now and its only been at $299 for 2 weeks. I bet it continues to sell really well for a long time and in a couple years when it drops to $199 sales will shoot up again. Call me crazy but I say PS3 can make 100 million since it plays Blu-rays, its future proof thanks to firmware updates, and high def is becoming increasingly popular.
360: 65-70 million
I predict the 360 comes in a relatively distant third place this gen. Since it doesn't have the extreme popularity of the Wii or the Blu-ray capabilities of the PS3 I think the 360 will have the shortest life of the big 3 consoles. The 360 should sell as well as it has for another 2 years or so bringing it to about 55-60 million sales, but sales will be hurt in the 6th year when the "Xbox 720" is announced and the PS3 and Wii are down to $199 and $129 respectively and its 6th year will only bring it up to about 60-65 million sales. And I predict it trickles to 65-70 million before it completely dies. Oh yeah, and Natal flops big.
