Wii at 35 million worldwide XBOX 360 at 29 million Jan 1st 2009

[Mummelmann]

Hmm, I think we'll see about 180-200 million consoles sold this gen, and they'll be more even in sales figures than most people expected.
But, like I've said before in another thread; Nintendo will not sell more than PS2, which is currently at about 118.000.000 units sold.
Nintendo themselves said prior to the Wii's release that it was never meant to have the same lifespan as the "hardcore" consoles, which typically get a relief at about 5-6 years.
So if Wii stands alone for 3-4 years, there's just no way that the console market moves fast enough for that to happen.
Granted, more and more PC gamers buy consoles because of the lackluster game library on the PC, but still.

This post is addressed to no one in particular, just my thoughts. I don't see how everyone all of the sudden sees Nintendo as invincible? Perhaps because they did so poorly the last two gens and we were all very surprised at the Wii's initial sucess? Maybe. No one can question that this is the strongest comeback in console history, but if you backtrack and survey the market that has been and that is, some of these predictions are astronomically positive to me!

PS: I've wrote a rant on the console wars last night that I'm thinking of posting in here, does anyone want to read it? (no worries, I'm no fanboy).