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As someone else said, Blue Ocean isn't Holy Gospel, Nintendo can and will elastically adjust its plans to contingency, but this said, deciding a rushed cut during Slim launch week doesn't make any sense, they surely planned a cut in every particular, but they'll do it only if really unavoidable.
Let's not forget that Wii is relatively cheap, so as long as it sells well, it better save its possible few cuts for when it will really need it.

This year is too early to make it profitably enough, but maybe next year we could even see a Wii+Balance Board bundle at $250, to finally offer a very affordable full body motion detection solution, that right now is still quite expensive. Being able to count since the beginning on the existing Wii Fit user base, the bundle could start with a huge advantege on Natal and Sony's equivalent solution, if they are released.



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW!