Well... right now, if things stay the way they are, it's kind of really hard to say whether they'll meet their projections. There's no telling what effect the releases of big games like Wii Fit Plus and NSMBW will be. I'm sure they'll push hardware, but just how much remains to be seen.
It's also way too early to tell what the effect of the Slim and 360's pricecuts will be on Wii's sales. Sure the HD consoles' sales are up now, but that's to be expected. People knew about the Slim and pricecuts and were waiting for them to release. Those sales spikes will go down in the next few weeks as sales drop off. But just what the effect on Wii will be is anyone's guess, though personally I don't think the HD consoles will eat into Wii's sales that much.
Wii Fit Plus and Mario Bros. are a big deal, a very big deal, we all know that, and right now it looks pretty likely we'll see a black Wii release sometime during the holiday season as well. Couple that with WSR, which is bound to keep on selling tons, and the fact that Wii is still the only console to offer motion controls (not counting the Sixaxis, because, well - come on), which is definitely still appealing, interesting, fresh, new and above all, fun, for millions of people, and I think it's safe to say Wii will see a very successful holiday season.
Who knows, Nintendo might even cut the price, but all that remains speculation until we hear anything official.
All in all, whether they meet their forecasted sales numbers is still up in the air, but tbh I can't see either of the HD twins sell more than Wii this holiday season. You never know, Wii might outsell both competitors combined.
The millions of casual consumers who are not interested at all in any of the games or features the HD consoles have to offer are not suddenly going to buy one of those consoles just because a newer of cheaper version of it comes out. Wii was built, from the ground up, to appeal to everyone, age 4 to 104. That's the entire idea behind it, from its games to its control scheme, its interface, its features and every other aspect of the thing. Neither of the HD twins was.
I still don't see my grandfather, a soccermom, five-year-old girls, schoolteachers, businessmen or any other average joe in the street buy and play a 360 or PS3. Those are the kind of people who buy a Wii for Wii Sports, Wii Fit, Wii Play, Mario Kart or Animal Crossing. And although it might upset some 'hardcore' snobs, there are a *lot* more of those people than there are 14-34 year old males with an interest in sports, shooting and racing games. (Yes there's a wider range of people who play them, and there are more genres on those consoles, obviously, but that's the kind of games people associate with the HD consoles, just like how people associate Wii with party-, mini- and all-round family-friendly games. Anyone denying that is just in denial.)
So, back on topic, to conclude: it's still too early to tell, but based on Nintendo's projections and the way things stand now, you'd think they just might have a few aces up their sleeves. And Wii is going to have anything but an unsuccessful holiday season.
And before *anyone* comes in here flaming the heck out of me, please don't, just act like a rational human being and don't get too excited over nothing. These are just my personal opinions and thoughts, if you don't agree, fine, but at least don't act like a 5-year-old little kid. :)
Nintendo Network ID: Cheebee 3DS Code: 2320 - 6113 - 9046
