the ps3 will sell 100 milllion?

[crumas2]

JEDE3 said:

crumas2 said:

Perhaps so many people believe the Sony "10-year plan" for the PS3 is ridiculous not because it's impossible, but because it's very difficult to predict how long a particular platform will last.  Sony will stop selling the PS3 when it isn't a viable product anymore... no sooner and no later.  The 10-year guess is just that... a guess.

I didn't realize the Ps3 has been a viable product for the last 3 years.

I'm not sure why you say that.  Perhaps my definition of "viable" is different than yours.  To me, "viable", when referring to a console, means a platform that has sufficient developer and consumer interest to sell in reasonable numbers to support a market for that product.  This isn't true for a lot of other products, for example TVs.  You don't sell TVs below or at cost to sell another product or service.  Gaming consoles and their associated games, on the other hand follow the razor rule... give away the razor so you can sell razor blades.

So when I say the PS3 is viable, I mean it's still possible for Sony to sell PS3s and PS3 games and potentially make money.  But when sales of the PS3 drop WW to a tiny fraction of current sales, they will likely stop selling it.  This will probably happen to the PS2 in the near future, say within a year or two.

The key thing is that Sony does not have a crystal ball--they can't know for certain how long it will be before making and selling PS3s and PS3 games will no longer make sense from a business perspective--and they can't afford to prop up a technology long after it should be retired.  That's a good business plan for failure.