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nightsurge on 24 August 2009
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The Truth said:
nightsurge said:
The Truth said:

The PS3, along with the 360 will continue to rise and sink, with the PS3's 'rises' being a little higher, therfore shrinking the gap. I still think a gap will remain though, PS3 wll be in 3rd placd for quite a while IMO, but eventually it will come 2nd.

Also, the PS Brand doesn't have what it takes to put the PS3 into second quickly, but keep in mind that this is the PS Brand at it's weakest (selling alot of consles for very high prices, well used to anyway), and it's still very powerful (stronger than Xbox brand, and Nintendo, although the 'Wii' brand is stronger.)

Except so far no PS3 "rise" has been higher than the "sink".  Every rise the PS3 got, the 360 rose higher when it countered.  So far the gap has not shrunk at all, but increased by nearly 3 million since the PS3 launched.

But the PS3 can do that considering it will most likely be sold at retail longer than the 360, and that the 360 has had a years more games, price cuts and boosts than it. With the Slim, the PS3 will be on top and the 360 on the bottom, Natal should turn that around, and then Sony will respond and it will turn again and continue. However, now that Sony has hit more affordable pricing, the 'rises' should be slightly better and the 'sinks' not as bad, making the gap decrease in the long run. The PS brand power also helps.

I think everything depends on Natal tbh, if it can skyrocket 360 sales and Sony don't come back with a really good response, the PS3 will be forever third. However if Natal dies out quickly, or doesn't perform, 2nd is almost guaranteed imo.

Actually that depends on which one has the most software sales towards the end of this generation.  So far the PS3 is much more likely to be discontinued first at retail, especially in the Americas where it is 9 million behind the 360 in that region alone.

The only thing you fail to take into account is market saturation.  Sony's new affordable pricing and any further actions are coming way late to the game, so any future incentives will be hitting less and less possible buyers.  I think 3rd place regardless of what Sony does is guaranteed.  Natal does play a big role in all this, but even without it, the 360 should be more than capable of maintaining a 1/2 to 2/3's price of the PS3 until they both stop production.  I wouldn't be surprised to see a $149 Arcade and even possibly a $199 Elite by year's end, and the Elite would only be losing about $50 at most if it went that low.

Prices for the rest of the generation (my prediction):  PS3 - $300 / Xbox 360 - $150/200;  PS3 - $200 / Xbox 360 - $100/170;  PS3 - $150 / Xbox 360 - $100;  Both consoles final price and are discontinued shortly after the new generation starts.  If Sony for whatever reason manages to keep making PS3's at this point, it will drop to $130 then to $100 after a few more years before finally discontinuing.