I wouldn't underestimate the Playstation brand, in total console sales we haven't reached the sales numbers of the PS2 generation yet and gaming has do doubt grown since then. The PS3 still has the potential to defeat the 360 if they can find some way to get back into the hearts of the US gamers. But that's the only thing it can hope for imo because the Wii is compleeetly different. If you want Wii games and motion controlls then you dont end up bying a 360 or PS3 even if they drop to 100 dollars. So playstation 3 could go from a distant third place to a distant second place (compaired with the Wii that is). Having said that Natal and the PS Wand represent a new generation, the Wii will be old and if the HD consoles can market themselves as new + motion controls then casual gamers will slowly switch to the HD consoles. But it's too early to tell which one will be the most succesful, but it's obvious that Microsoft is the one that is currently working the hardets to make this a symbolic start of a new generation.
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