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superchunk said:
Nope.

Bring Black Wii and promote a few bundles.

Wii + Wii Sports + Wii Sports Resort (inc M+) for $289.
Wii + Wii Sports + The Conduit for $279.
Wii + Wii Sports + Metroid Prime Trilogy for $279
Wii + Wii Sports + NSMBWii for $289.
Wii + Wii Sports + [some other 3rd party game that's good] for $289.

Then only discount IF
1. Wii is selling less than PS3 or 360 sept and/or oct. (Nov discount)
2. Wii doesn't outdo last xmas by at least 30%. (Jan discount)

I'd add a Motion Plus+ pack to this, like the Wii's equivalent of the Elite.  Wii + Wii Sports Resort + Tiger Woods + 2 Complete Controller Sets (inc WM+), maybe even component cables.

Definitely too soon to cut the price though, it's only part of the equation.