I was updating some of my ongoing sales documents today and I noticed:
Wii, by NPD reached 4.546 million through October 6, 2007 in 11 NPD 'months'.
If Wii sells ~454,000 units in NPD October, then Wii will become the first USA system/portable to reach 5.0 million inside 1 year of launch (12 NPD months = 364 days).
If Wii reaches something like 4.90/4.95 million in October, it will certaintly blow past 5.0 million units in November, month number 13.
PS2 took 14 months in the USA (by NPD) to reach 5.0 million units according to my research. N64 and Xbox 360 took 16 months in the USA (by NPD) to reach 5.0 million units according to my research. Research says GC took 25 months to reach 5.0 million in the USA (by NPD).
Its looking like through month 12 like Wii is tracking 20%-25% ahead of where PS2 was in it's 12 month.
Also worth noting - Wii has already offset 5-6 months of the Xbox 360 12 month lead in sales, in roughly one year of sales. Current rates would suggest a catchup sometime between Nov 2008 and April 2009 although price drops are a guarentee in the interim time frame...
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
