Flop or not prediction - upcoming 3rd party games

[BenKenobi88]

No More Heroes - FLOP - I'm totally looking forward to this game...but ...unfortunately?...or is fortunately...many Wii owners and even non-Wii owners list No More Heroes among their top most-wanted Wii games. Why? I don't think they even know what Suda 51 is like or what this game will be like. Do they expect 1:1 lightsaber action? They'll be disappointed. Do they expect a GTA free-roaming game, free to do whatever you want? They'll be disappointed I'm sure.
This game is definitely a niche title...even if the mainstream's liking it now, they're probably not going to "get" it when it comes to review time. Case in point: The extremely short, few second long videos that Suda 51 is releasing over time...51 very short teasers. They come up on GameTrailers every week or so, and a vast majority of comments are "WAY TOO SHORT!","WTF SHOW US A LONG CLIP", etc. This is just his style...Suda's crazy...you should expect wackiness such as 51 extremely short clips...get over it!

NiGHTS - FLOP - It has yet to prove itself to me...even if I take the word of the ogling fans of the original, I have yet to see why this game will be any different or unique from the original. The original introduced some good 3D visuals, the use of an analog stick, and a feeling of flight that hadn't been played that way before. Since then, we've seen an infinite variety of 3D games, flying games, 2.5D games, etc...what's so different about this one? I have a feeling it may barely make a profit...but so far, I would predict a general flop.

Zack & Wiki - NOT - It's not going to sell millions, but it'll cover the budget...enough people will be persuaded by Matt and Bozon of IGN hehe.

Resident Evil: UC - NOT - The allure of using a peripheral, 2 player co-op, and it being RE will put it in the black for sure. Probably over a million eventually.

Guitar Hero III - NOT - I'm not totally sure about this one...there's still a lot of PS2 and 360 owners who will stick to that platform of course. But there are a large number of new Wii owners...the market fits, it may be reasonably priced, the Wiimote's built-in sound, rumble, and online play is a plus...though no DLC is a negative.