DQIX 2 Day Sale: Famitsu Official

[wenlan]

Lafiel said:
hmm.. DQ8 had a start week (first 2 days) of ~ 2.268m and total sales of 3.68m in Japan (1.62 multiplier)

I wonder what kind of multiplier/total sales DQ9 can achieve..

arguments pro higher multi:
- higher userbase
- DS games generally have good legs

contra:
- first non-home console non-remake main line iteration
- seemingly lukewarm reception (might not be the case for the normal DQ buyer but only for "hardcores")

For now I think a 1.50-1.75 multiplier seems to be the most probable, which would put the game at 3.51m-4.1m in total jpn sales

So far, the DQ games on DS

Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 1st week (43.15% of total) => new game, DQ spinoff

Dragon Quest IV (49.54% of total) => remake

Dragon Quest V (57.15% of total) => remake

the multiplier ranged between 2.31 to 1.74

DQIX should be much more front loaded than these games.  I think your estimate will probably be correct.  The president of ENTERBRAIN predicted DQIX will sell more than 4 million copies, likely to hit 5 million.  But so far, 5 million seems like very challenging.