WM+ is a peripheral, one that is likely to be bundled with many games that require it at first. The number that it will sell would not be comparable to the install base as PS3 because of this nature. Of course it will outsell the PS3, even if half the wiis had one it would do it, but everyone is going to get one so I say at least double during the lifetime, if not 4x.
That said I think making a comparison of DS3 attach ratio (percentile) to PS3 install base, compared to WM+ attach ratio to wii install base would be a good comparison.







