You do realize that Wii is probably going to perform much better in Japan in the second half of 2009 which can offset slightly down or flat sales in the Americas. Wii will also likely be up in Others this year.
Wii did 1.18m in Japan in 26 weeks over the second of 2008. That averages out to 44,600 or so.
This year, we know Wii will do say 90k for MH3 week, 90k for NSMB Wii week, 50k for Wii Fit Plus week, 50k for Samurai Warrior 3 week, 50k for Tales of Graces week, and 40k for FF: CC Week.
Thats 370k, assuming these titles release by late November (non Holiday weeks).
The fifteen non-holiday, non-big-release weeks can probably stay at 30k with the more constant stream. So you get 450k for those 15 weeks, 370k for the six big weeks, and then you have the big December. Wii can probably do 600k-800k with Wii Sports Resort, Wii Fit +, NSMB, Samuari Warriors 3, Monster Hunter 3, FF: CC, Tales of Graces and whatever else as recent releases.
So...700k+ 370k+ 450k
That gives you 1.52m, which is up 20% from last year, and about 340,000. The new colors, a price cut and other games (Mario & Sonic? RE: DC?) may add a bit to it as well.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
