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superchunk on 18 June 2009
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Squilliam said:
superchunk said:
@squilliam - ok, I'll give you that if WSR/Conduit/MH3/EASportActive don't cause a significant push through the remainder of summer, then I would also agree there is no way they are hitting the 26m shipped.

However, that does not mean there will be any price cut. If they still feel they will hit 20m+ a similar number sold to last year, they will not cut the price.

But, my point about apr-jun range still stands. MKWii killed last year and this year there is nothing big, yet.

The question is, how flexible their production lines are. If they would otherwise idle a reasonable percentage of their production which they put in place to deal with the Wiis massive sales they could be better off with a small price cut because unused production adds to the average cost of the Wii.

The last few years nintendo was sold out. No stock on shelves for NA and greater parts of EU. However, they did push production up to ensure they saw big gains in holidays, still sold out, but big gains.

This year they are stockpiling so they don't have to ramp up production so much. It will probably still sell out between black friday and Christmas. This massive selling of what will be a plentiful stock plus given the big games launching in this fiscal year is why there will definitely be NO price cut and a very strong support for Nintendo making their projections of 26m shipped.

Before xmas we know we have some quality 3rd party titles, WSR, NSMBWii. After xmas, but before the end of March we have the possibility of SMG2 and Metroid:M along with many more quality 3rd party titles.

Black Wii with big games will = massive sales Oct - Dec.