What's keeping the Wii afloat right now in Japan is Wii Fit, nothing else. Niche games sales are so small that they are irrelevant. Plus those niche games aren't really that niche, they get the niche status because the sell badly. Not because they are badgames, but because they are getting released on a userbase that doesn't clamour that kind of games.
FFCC:CB is probably 2010 since it's labeled as a Winter release which means Christmas or 2010. Tales of Graces is 2010 too, Samurai Warriors 3 has disappeared from the map ages ago, so I doubt it's coming out this year. So far it's only MH3 for the year, along with some small games which will be insignificant most of the times. NSMBWii will be big, but will manage to gather more Nintendo and Mario fans, I doubt it will tap on the RPG audience for example.
There's almost nothing big besides MH3 coming out this year, unless they plan on doing surprise releases, which will end up hurting sales more than helping. See PS3 for example, sales dying really fast after the set of big games released. SW moves HW, no other way around it.
Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.
tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."
Bets with Conegamer:
Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.
