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The thread maker talks about a 4 year life cycle and only 20 mill X360's sold. Just forget that nonsence.

2007 is the X360's best year so far, and it will have sold 7-8 mill units world wide, so X360 by end of year 2007: -----> a minimum of 15 million consoles sold since launch.

2008: the X360 will reach mass market price point á la $250-300 and we know it will be a great year for gaming with GTA4, Star Wars Unleased, Fallout 3, Alan Wake etc - so expect +8 million X360's sold. -----> 23 million since launch.

2009: 7 mill? 9 mill? We don't have any idea, but minimum: ----> 30 million since launch.

2010: the X360's 5th full year, but even if the X360 is dying expect 6 mill: ----> 36 mill minimum since launch

2011: is according to general expectation the last year of this gen (and might be the first full year for an Xbox 3), but MS won't abandon the X360, so expect at least some 5 mill sold due to great game library of games & price at $150: ----> 40 mill X360's minimum since launch.

Personally I expect significantly bigger numbers for the X360 and a total around 50 million consoles sold by 2011.