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3-3.5m

Firstly, Uncharted sold 2m without bundles, and according to Sony it has sold over 2.6m unit (press conference) so we should have it at at least 2.5m

Anyway, from the looks of things, this is going to be a meta 95. Have you seen any negative impressions? They have improved single player, and they have added multiplayer, which is just great, and should help sell it. Uncharted 1 was also a very popular game, so we should see much higher initial sales as most of those who bought it will get it as soon as it comes out. Sony will also do a bit of advertising, which will also boost sales.

Also, can I just point out that inFamous was advertised in America, but not Europe