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theprof00 said:
@bardic
1st Paragraph:
They will probably sell close to 4M in the two months of november and december.... That should add at least 2%. If that is boosted significantly by wsr (throughout the year as well) then we might be looking at 4% extra. Besides that PS360 don't really have any big big games coming this year. (unless ff13 comes out in Japan).

2nd P:
I'm guessing you wrote this because I said that the ratio will start to decline in 2010. I think that with a price drop for ps3, and big big names coming out for both in the future, as well as motion controls for both, wii market share will start to decline.

Plus, I think that your use of the the term "new gamers" is inaccurate.

It will be a strange thing to see the marketshare jump that much that quickly. It just hasnt happened to date, and I cant see the gap being that dramatic.

As for the 2nd paragraph, you mention motion controls pushing sales when I just explained before that the motion controls wont penetrate the casual markets like people think, but give the current HD system owners a new means of controls. You also said big names coming out in the future, when i directly said there's not much besides FF13 that are know as system pushers, maybe God of War 3 might be a bit of a boost. Other games announced are more of the interest for current owners of those systems.  Price drops are credible, but titles and motion controls, I think will have a lot less impact than you seem to expect.