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theprof00 said:
It might hit 50% when wm+ and wsr comes out, then lose some, then hit 55 during christmas. I expect it then to go down to 50 again and slowly decline throughout 2010, and hit 50% again that x-mas.

I doubt that it'll jump that quickly upward or settle back down. It takes a month or 2 even during peak Christmas holiday time for it to move 1%.  The gradual climb, at the likely rate is to 50% by the end of the holiday season this year. It might falter by 0.1 percent only when FF13 comes out, but eventuall regain soon thereafter.

From what history's proven, there's little that will push the HD console sales greatly. Every single game that's come out for them with the exception of big names like GTA4, MGS4, Halo 3, etc, has failed to really move systems. While the PS3 and 360 offerings are solid, there's nothing that's going to attract new gamers to the console, only entertain the crowd they already cater to. Even with ther eventual motion technologies, its too late and too obscure to try to cash in on a casual market.