| mrstickball said: I'm a realist as Erik Aston and I are about the only 2 predicters that are anticipating an actual GROWTH in the video game industry this generation, whereas everyone else is predicting a 20% decline in video game sales. Some might view my 55m X360 and 70m PS3 predictions as being overly optimistic, but even if the Wii would get 60m or so, that'd put the market at a 10% increase over last generation, whereas most people, even with those thinking the Wii1 does 100m+ never realize that even if the Wii does 100m, there still needs to be around 100m MORE systems between the 360/PS3 to equal the most recent gen. |
If those numbers are achieved then surely the industry would have grown if not in unit sales, then by $ value. I cannot see the PS3 coming down in price to even the PS2 launch price anytime soon, so the total amount spent on videogames would be higher even if the actual unit sales are lower. However, I still think there is a finite amount of money that a gamer will spend on their console, so the proportion spent on games (which they make money on) to consoles (which they don't currently make money on) will be lower, this would surely mean decline in video game sales.
The proportional spend between games and a PS2 console would have been higher, so there may be more money available to spend on games, it would be interesting to know if this arguement actually bears up.
