Virtual Console Sales

[shams]

I actually see that graph as slightly disappointing. Here is why:

 - the number of Wii units sold is increasing in a "roughly" linear fashion

 - the number of VC titles available is also increasing in a "linear" fashion

Now if you assume that people who buy VC titles, "gradually" (at least) buy extra titles - that is sort of a "n^2" curve you should be seeing. But its almost completely linear.

I think the reason is this: a higher % of early adopters have jumped online, and done the VC downloading. As time goes on, less people are going online - and less people are starting to purchase VC titles.

...

There are a couple of easy solutions for Ninty:

 - put some really compelling software online (Brawl, WiiFit, DS Demo Station) - this will encourage a lot more people to jump online.

 - bundle some Wii points (1000pts?) with each Wii bundle. Possibly lock to each Wii unit, or do online - such that they can't be sold or given to other people. This will encourage a lot more people to actually download/purchase VC titles.

...

If all goes to plan, there should be a LOT more VC titles purchased by the end of the year - closer to 12m. Maybe even 15-20m by March '08. WiiWare will only send this rocketing as well.