Why the PS3 will not last long, let alone 10 years.

[theRepublic]

WereKitten said:

theRepublic said:

Don't you realize why it is game over?  Once a new gen starts, software support for the second and third place consoles of the previous gen is going to dry up.

So how exactly would the Xbox or GBA keep selling without software support?

You speak as if it's a law of nature, but it isn't so. At best you're projecting in the future mechanics that happened how many times? Two, three? And this time with different technologies, economic conditions etc.

When did in the past the second and third place console constitute almost a single development platform?

When did in the past the development cost of a game baloon to such proportions, and in the same way the time required to develop the middleware needed to make a profit?

The game is changing all the time. Looking back at NES and SNES, Genesis, N64 and PS1 is simplistic. How the development will work in 2012-2013 has still to be written. It could very well be that both MS and SONY pull a Wii and release upgraded versions of their machines, but similar enough that simultaneous development can happen for the two generations.

You think the market is going to support six consoles?  I don't.