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I don't think that the lack of ps2 BC will have much effect on sales of the 40GB. Most people that want a ps3 neither know nor care about it's BC status. Just look at this conversation from this other thread here on this site:

Duckaluck said:

"So, I can play PS2 games on a PS3?"

 

 

konnichiwa said:

"It depends if you buy one with BC or not."

 

Duckaluck said:

"I have a 60gig"


makingmusic476 said:

"Then you have 100% BC with ps1/2 games. :D"

 

Duckaluck said:

"I never knew this! I played my PS2 games on my PS2.

So I can put MGS3 in my PS3, and it will work?"

 

The quote system in here is really screwy. :|