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I think Punch-Out! will be a hit though. The marketing campaign for it is really good and the whole nostalgia card draws in older players while the accessible controls make it a fun party game too. 

The graphics are nice too. 

I'm thinking 400k+ first month for Punch-Out!, but it will sell for a loooooooong time beyond that. It has "crowd pleaser" written all over it. 

DSi sales will come down next month, and Wii sales will even out a bit more. The Wii/DS ratio was out of whack this month because of the DSi launch.