It will be an update to this page
http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/news/index.html
While there is no point in arguing this two-three hours before the data, I think its possible that Nintendo has no idea what M+ will do.
The two extremes are:
1) No one new will be interested in M+, developers will screw it up/arrive late to the party and Wii will sell mainly off previously software with M+ doing little more than preventing a dip.
2) M+ will allow for actual motion control implementation of a fuller range of genres which will diversify the Wii lineup, prevent the system from needing a price cut, and invigorate sales beyond current levels based on the genre diversity.
Right now we know motion control works pretty well (for publisher revenues only - not in terms of game play) for about five things if we're generous about genre definitions :
- Sports (particularly Golf, Tennis and Bowling)
- Fitness (is Wii Fit aerobics or cardio vascular? I haven't played it yet)
- Music (Simulations - I consider Rockband/GH essentially motion sensing games which is why they do well everywhere)
- Mini Game Compilations (RRR, Mario Party, Carnival Games, Wario Ware)
- Shooters (this is overlooked - but Link's Crossbow Training, Call of Dutys, Metroid Prime, and a few others have done well)
To me, M+ has realistic genre sales growth potential in at least the following areas:
- Sports: Boxing, Baseball, Ultimate Frisbee, Pool
- Traditional Fighters
- Action RPGs - Swords, Boomerangs, etc
- "Head Tracking"
Its up to developers to make those advances happen, but even if only some of those genres improve over the next few months I think we'll see Wii sales top 2008.
Wii is always going to cede certain popular types of game play to other machines - online obsessed gamers, football games and racers immediately spring to mind. But Nintendo definitely has some of the sports audience this generation which can be pretty lucrative, and with Wii Fit and other fitness titles still doing well they seem to have invented a female sports gaming audience.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
