| TheSource said: http://www.gamedaily.com/articles/news/report-new-ps3-motion-sensing-controller-coming/?biz=1 Thoughts? If Sony has a motion-controller coming to compete with Motion Plus and the Wii Mote, then I would expect Sony's PS3 projections to be a bit higher than previously expected. |
What do you exactly mean here? Do you mean that Sony in their next forecast will project higher PS3 sales to accompany a (possible) new motion controller, or do you yourself expect higher PS3 sales due to this?
(BTW when are Sony's Q1 financial results going to be released?)
| TheSource said: March 2010 Projection Trends to Watch For: - Iphone/PSP2 (PSP-Go if one of them exists!) threat to DS sales. If Nintendo sees a threat look for DS sales to be down otherwise DS should be flat or up - probably 30-33m. - Price cuts. In Japan a PS3 price cut right now would seriously hurt Wii. Nintendo may choose to cut the Wii price in Japan to counteract this. Western markets look ok through at least this Christmas regardless of PS3/360 price cuts as unemployment rates of 8-10% don't bode well for $400 consoles with $60 games. - Wii HW/SW. How big is Motion Plus? If Nintendo expects it to be big look for Wii to be forecast at 28m - 33m for the FY, with 200m-280m games shipped for the year. Otherwise, look for maybe 23m-28m with 175m-230m games on Wii. If Wii gets price cuts worldwide, which is unlikely, I don't think 35m or 40m would be out of the question. A price cut in Japan would assure 25m+ though. I'm expecting 28m-30m Wiis projected, with about 230m games projected for Wii (the average Wii owner buying ~3 games in a year - it seems doable). DS I think will be up slightly on the DSi launch. Who know what they'll project though. DS has beaten its projections every year since it was launched I believe. 32.5m and 205m I think are doable, especially since DS will have a good May-July with DQIX and Kingdom Hearts, and the system should have its best western Christmas this year...which is scary since it did 3m+ in December just in the USA last year. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thoughts? |
Your projections for 2010 are interesting, but about the Wii: you really believe 28-30 mill Wiis will be sold in the year (FY March 2009-March 2010) without a price cut? (And a whopping 35-40 mill if there was a price cut?!)
I have the impression the Wii is losing steam a lil bit. Recent trends are that the Wii is down YoY a lil bit, so I'm thinking ~24 mill Wiis in 2009 (FY March 2010 should be rufly the same).
