I see the Wii going one of two ways

[Steve 3.2]

NintendoTogepi said:

1. It continues on at the same level, selling tons and tons and becoming the best selling console of the generation and rivalling the NES in sales

2. The "fad" dies down, sales decrease as most people who have one want one and the system basically sells around the same as the GameCube give or take 5 million and is last in the generation

Sales typically slow down during this time of year, but the Wii continues to be virtually sold out in the US.  The Wii will outsell the GameCube.  That's a no brainer at this point.  It won't happen this year, but should happen early next.  And the Wii should be able to beat the N64.  If production continues at current levels, that will probably happen by the end of 2008.  After that point, things get a little hazy.  SNES at 50M and NES at 60M are much higher loftier goals.  Doable?  Absolutely.  But a lot of that depends on how long the Wii remains on the market and what everyone else does (price drops, new games, etc.).  I think we may see a 'Wii 2' much sooner than the other two console manufacturers.  And if that happens, the sales of the Wii may be cut short.

I don't think motion controls are a fad.  Expect everyone to have them in their next system.  When the 'Wii fad' will die down, however, is anyone's guess.  But I think Nintendo has a killer line up of games this holiday season for their regular fans (MP3, SMG, SSBB) and some new 'fads' coming in 2008 (Wii Fit and any other 'non-games', Mario Kart Wii, etc.) that should help keep the momentum up for quite some time.