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well, i'd be more excited if not for the mere 23,000 units of wii sold in japan.

certainly, if this can trend in japan, it can trend in america too. looks like i'll need to adjust the baseline for the wii--to maybe 35,000 units in japan in a normal week, instead of the like 60,000 units i was using previously.

that's a 300k difference every quarter! that's like 10 mln in profits of hardware off the table, and probably 50 mln in profits in software.

i still believe this x'mas is gonna be the biggest ever for nintendo, though. Q2 probably won't be as great as Q1, given slowing sales in both DS and Wii and a tougher exchange rate, so hopefully market doesn't react too unfavorably.

oh well. finally some bad news for nintendo. i have no doubt the wii is gonna win this generation, it's just a matter of how much, and my projections might just be too optimistic, and maybe i'll need to reevaluate.



the Wii is an epidemic.