What do you think sales of the 360, PS2, and PS3 will be over Holidays?

[kn]

I guess this thread isn't going anywhere so I'll come at it from a fanboy perspective and see...

I think the PS2 will probably be off quite a bit -- say -30% over last year meaning the move about 1.75M over the holidays.

I think the PS3 will probably increase by 35% over last holiday -- to about 1.1 million over the holidays.

I think that the 360 will increase by about 25% over last holiday -- to about 2.5 million over the holidays.

So, there are my predictions... These are for Nov/Dec North America.

If Sony and Microsoft (PS3/360) continue to roughly split Europe and the PS3 has a similar holiday increase in Japan, the net result is that the 360 is going to increase its overall lead over the PS3 through the end of the year by a million consoles or so. That would put the 360 out of reach of the PS3 for quite a significant timeframe... The difference in worldwide sales at end of year based on these assumptions would put the 360 at around 7.5M total worldwide more than the PS3. If the PS3 cuts its price to a point where it can outsell the 360 on a global basis by 500K consoles per month -- starting in January 08 --, we are looking at April 2009 or somewhere in there before the two consoles are even...  Assuming a 500K delta will require some ramp up time, It could be Holidays 2009 before we see parity.