It isn't what I believe, it is what would happen to reach DFC's scenario. I think they believe that alot of developers want to a) Avoid competing with Nintendo b) make games using alot of tech c) cater to hardcore gamers with alot of cash, and d) have at least the potential to sell 500k+ units of a well crafted game in each region.
360 will never get full Japanese support because it won't ever sell more than 1.5 million units in Japan. For developers in Japan who invested alot in tools for this generation, PS3 becomes the default choice if you believe sales will pick up with the price drops. There will be added incentive to familiarize with the tool sets anyway, since the Wii successor will likely have similar capability at a reasonable price.
My scenario says developers are greedy, and artists are innovative - and that keeps the best gameplay off 360 and PS3 - hurting sales - even though they get - by far - the prettiest games. Both greed and innovations favor Wii because of the lesser graphical output and motion sensing tech innovations. But, there are definitely scenarios where PS3 or 360 sells over 50+ million by 2012, which is why I see the analyst report as reasonable. Just wish I had clarified that what I wrote was an expectation of DFC's scenario would develop, not mine.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
