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grandmaster192 on 18 September 2007
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shams said:

The real battle will now begin 1st qrt '08 - this is where Ninty took the market by the scruff of its neck in '07. Sony know they can't afford for this to happen again, so they are gearing up for a non-Xmas rush fight. Games, price cut, lots of hardware.


I'm not sure about that. When are you expecting a price cut from Sony?

I think your PS3 is too high. If the 360 gets to 15m (and its almost at 11m now), that means the PS3 will reach 10m this year. Not gonna happen - still 7/8m in my opinion.

15m for the 360 and 10m for the PS3 is exactly what I predicted. I agree that my PS3 numbers are very ambitious; however, the prediction for these numbers are more of a theory rather than a logical breakdown, as I think there will be a price drop in both Japan and Europ. Thus, increasing the demand for the PS3 in time for the holiday season. If I was to bet on what the PS3 would sale by years end, I would say in between 8.5m-9.1m. The 10m number depends on price drops in Europ and Japan.

But if the 360 flunks (not likely with Halo around the corner? Or is it?), and only reaches 13.5m (2.7m sold WW for remainder of year), that makes 9m for the PS3 - which I still think is too high.

I doubt the 360 will only pull of 13.5m. As of right now, 15m seems the most likely.

Its a valid prediction though - we'll see how it all goes :)

Either way, its going to be a huge, bumper Xmas for games - sales will go through the roof, but I think the sheer NUMBER of titles available will mean that many titles don't reach their sales potential. Sales will also carry on into the start of '08.

Most of these consles should have large enough install bases to support the large amount of games coming. I know for sure the Wii's install base will be large enough.