Predict maximum marketshare for the Wii & DS ('07 edition)

[shams]

The numbers I find the most interesting at the moment, are the marketshare figures for all consoles.

After a reasonable rise (associated with a launch), the PS3 has dipped a little recently.

The cross-over meant that the 360/Wii traded market share values - the Wii now sitting around 42%, and the 360 around 40% (with the PS3 having the rest).

...

Same applies to the DS/PSP war. The DS struggled to hit the 2:1 sales ratio (66.6% vrs 33.3%) - and once it did, it sort of exploded - with the PSP share now dropping to its lowest (ever?) level - 31.8% at the moment.

.....

Now - what is interesting, is that these trends *will not* continue. The PSP slim will ensure that the PSP picks up marketshare from the DS - and the Xmas period ensures that the Wii will not maintain its current domination (Wii >= 360 + PS3)

(note that the comparison for share is ONLY being made amoung these consoles - no GBA, no GC, no XBOX, no PS2, etc...).

...

Predictions for where the Wii/DS will top out this year - and where all consoles will end up at the end of '07 (1st Jan '08):

 - Wii (max): 44.7% (around mid-November)

 - DS (max): 68.3% (now) - it will struggle to outsell the new PSP by 2:1 in the coming months.

End of year:

 - Wii: 44%

 - 360: 37%

 - PS3: 19%

 

 - DS: 65%

 - PSP: 35%