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It's got nuffin to do with games. It didn't in 2007 nor in 2008, and besides both HD consoles have a huge library of great games. After all, we're in the middle of a generation already.

It all comes down to the size of price drop(s).

I still believe PS3 will cost $299 in 2009. Perhaps with a split price drop, $50 in April and another $50 for Holidays. In that case Sony will win 2009 easili.

But if drop is only $50 in 2009 the X360 will win of course.