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haxxiy said:
As a whole, this year so far on Japan have been:

Wii: ~317k this year verse ~855 last year. Ouch: that's like 63% down.
HD consoles: ~295 this year verse ~328 last year. Should start going up yoy in two weeks, for both consoles.

Should the trend keep and Wii will sell around 1.1m on Japan this year, most likely being outsold by the HD twins and even by PS3 alone, if it keeps the pace through the year and FFXIII releases this holidays.

 

After Resident Evil 5 next week there's NOTHING for the HD twins that appeals in Japan. So although PS3 has a very good week it will very likely go below 10k very soon. 360 obviously as well.

Wii has a very bad start of the year and Nintendo and 3rd parties are to blame but the Wii hasn't got a pricecut yet, hell it's not even bundled with a game. And there has been no compelling software for ages. And still for 2009 it sells the same as the HD twins combined, while these have seen Star Ocean and Yakuza, two major releases, in that period.

Wii still has two Monster Hunter games (and despite what people say MH3 will likely sell close to, if not over a million) a mothership Tales game a Final Fantasy spin-off and a few smaller JRPGs. All this next to Nintendo's own games and Motion Plus.

There's no change in hell that Wii will be outsold by the HD twins this year. Not by far. Even if FFXIII actually releases this year, which is highly unlikely.