September NPD covers the five weeks of September 2 to October 6. 360 should be pushing 400k in September in my opinion, or Microsoft is in heaps of trouble.
August NPD was four weeks.
360 will probably do something like this over those five weeks (estimating US NPD):
Sept 8 65k
Sept 15 60k
Sept 22 72k (20% from people buying 360 in anticipation of Halo 3)
Sept 29 95k (further 30% boost in Halo 3 launch week, excellent sales for the price of Xbox 360 )
October 6 85k (10% drop)
60+65+72+95+85 = 377k
276/4 = 69k
69k x 5 = 345k September at current rates...
I expect October to be ~ 400k for 360 as well (Guitar Hero III & Halo 3 in the same 4 week period).
For 360 USA NPD Sept-Oct I have 800k in my (saved) personal predictions. The question is whether it splits 350/450, 250/550, 300/500, or 400/400 between September October.
Personally, I favor a 380k/420k split for Sept/Oct for 360 numbers. Sept-Dec will be better for 360 than last year in the USA.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
