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I think it will do close to 200k first week. It is much better game than Lair and has more hype than Warhawk, so it should sell better than those titles (and I think that Warhawk did about 150k first week). In USA it should sell more than 600k and break 1 million WW probably as a third PS3 title.

@mitsuhide: Afaik the European starter pack with HS and F1 is limited to France. So it won't have that much influence on HS sales.