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REd Steel sold over 1m, Metroid 3 1.5m, CoDWaW is easily going to sell over 1m.

So The Conduit will easily sell more than 1m unless it suddenly gets some real competition on the FPS side of things.

As for outselling Halo... I don't think so, not unless every Wii sold came with it (as well as Wii Sports). If it was an optional bundle that'd definately add another 2-5m in sales but that's still no where close to Halo's ever growing total. Halo is more than a game, it's a phenominom. Like Wii Fit.