As I told you in the thread you originally complained in sharky, if you want to make these predictions then do them before you have any numbers to base them on. In other words if you want to put yourself on a level playing field, guess week by week before the VGC #'s come out and then let your total for the month be your guess. The way you are doing it is taking advantage of VGC numbers which sort of ironically defeats the purpose of this.
By the way, you still haven't explained how you plan to get the right numbers to say who is and isn't closer. NPD, MC, ChartTrack all of them are estimates based on statistical analysis so if you won't take VGC's numbers it would also be very contradictory to take their numbers.
I think you are assuming NPD is 100% accurate which it simply isn't. But even then if you use NPDs numbers as the gauge, then all your guesses will signify your ability to guess VGC's tendancies to over or under track specific hardware relative to NPD.
Really I am trying to figure out how you are going to get provably meaningful data from this. The point is if there was a source to match data against after the fact it would actually be much easier for ioi and all of the tracking groups to do their jobs.
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