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Sullla said:

Some other first week debuts for comparison (all on PS3):

Grand Theft Auto 4: 2.5m
Metal Gear Solid 4: 1.7m
Call of Duty Modern War: 735k
Gran Turismo 5 Prologue: 640k
Pro Evo Soccer 09: 614k
FIFA 09: 510k
Devil May Cry 4: 519k
Call of Duty 4: 445k
Madden 09: 436k
Resistance 2: 403k

 

 MGS4 sold 1.23 mill ww first week excluding Japan.

I'm thinking Killzone2 can't sell more than 50% of MGS4 1st week, because:


- KZ2 won't be as frontloaded as MGS4 sales - MGS has more die hard fans rush out and buy it 1st week much like Halo fans.

- MGS franchise is a lot bigger.

- KZ2 already is scoring less than MGS4 on Gamerankings.

On the plus side shooters attract a broader audience than stealth.


So 0.5 x 1.23 mill = 0.615 mill + rufly 50K Japan ~ 650,000 copies.