I'd also like to point this out:
Gamecube sales the week before Sunshine: 9k
During Sunshine week: 28k
Sales stayed above 10,000 (roughly 2002 rate) from Sunshine's July release through the week ending October 13 - never dipping below 11,700 (30% higher than the pre-Sunshine week) once. Part of this is seasonal changes, but most of it is due to Sunshine, Phantasy Star Online and Star Fox Adventures. Still, a 35% boost on average over 3 months is pretty significant.
When Galaxy launches, it will be supported by, Zack and Wiki, Wii Fit, Nights? (no date), Smash Brothers Brawl? (no date announced, but I think it will arrive in late Nov), Soul Calibur Legends, Opoona, Umbrella Chronicles, Mario and Sonic at the Olympics (no date) and other titles previously released (Strikers, Mario Party 8, Wii Sports, Wii Play, Dragon Quest Swords, etc).
My point is, if Wii saw a similar boost from Galaxy...sales would increase from 40k (if that is the rate sales are going to stay at for now) to 124k or. In theory, if sales increased again to 65k weeks for Wii, I think the Wii's elite six sellers (i.e. top selling titles) - Wii Sports, Wii Play, Super Mario Galaxy, Super Smash Brothers Brawl, Wii Fit and Soul Calibur Legends could easily push it into a 200k week or two in November.
My thinking is Wii will see 50,000 in hardware sales most weeks until Galaxy releases. But then November arrives, and sales become ~1.5x to ~2.0x stronger than October. So, a 50k week x 1.5 mario x 1.3 November boost is what I set as see as minimal Wii sales - ~98k - for Galaxy launch week. In reality though, Sunshine tripled sales in week one, so up to 225k might be possible in November.
I'd stake my guess at 150k for Galaxy launch week simply because of the confirmed supporting software that arrives within a week of Galaxy (Opoona, Zack and Wiki, Umbrella Chronicles)
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
