It looks like the PS3 and Xbox 360 basically sold the same amount in 2008

[Oyvoyvoyv]

mrstickball said:
Shipped + padding for Sony.

Regardless, lets not count our chickens before they hatch, shall we? This next quarter for Sony will tell the story on how they're doing. If VGC is right, then Sony will not ship very many units this quarter (probably between 500k-1m), while MS out-ships them by a wide margin.

Unless GfK comes out with new data that backs Sony up, I don't see how VGC could have under/overtracked any system unless there are major 'others' discrepancies in Taiwan, Korea, and the like. Of course, few bother to tell us exactly how good/bad systems are doing in SE asia, S America, and other obscure markets.

 

If Sony shipped 1M in Q1, that would mean that 2.5M would be the very max they could sell really.

In the first 4 (of 13) weeks, it has sold 750K. Condiering that these weeks have a tad of holiday boost still in, we can expect lower onwards. So 2-2.25M.

 

I think you're actually right (as you may see from how I wrote my post, I didn't think so to start with).

 

mrstickball said:

Oyvoyvoyv said:

Looking at the shipped numbers.

 

# PlayStation 3: 21.35m (VGC = 19.5M)
# Wii: 44.97m (VGC 45.55M)
# Xbox 360: 28.45m (27.4M)
# PlayStation 2: 138.15m (124M)
# NDS: 96.22m (97.1M)
# PSP: 51.26m" (43.3M)

Are all of these numbers accurate as of last quarter?

If so, it would seem that the Wii and DS are overtracked slightly (~500-1m), while the PS2 and PSP are wildly undertracked.

I think the rule of thumb we need to take for console shipments is that there HAS to be a gap of ~500k units between manfacturing numbers and VGC sell through, as there will always be that many unsold to customers in the supply chain. But it's far harder to make proper arguments against a system being under-represented on VGC. Of course, in the PSP and PS2 case, we have the luxury of knowing that there's no way THAT many systems would be sitting on shelves.

 

The VGChartz numbers are on the week ending 2nd January 09.