| NintendoMan said: I would say 2010, unless PS3 receives a price cut and KZ2 actually shifts consoles in which case late 2009 is possible. |
You understand that in order for it to be in 2009 KZ2 would have to shift 8 million consoles, right?
At least if we assume that the PS3 will sell as well as 2008, around 10 million consoles. And 2008 saw the release of MGS4, LBP, MS2, R2 and lots of great multiplats like GTA4 and Fallout 3, so it already was an amzing line-up for PS3.
Exclusives for 2009: KZ2, inFamous, Heavy Rain, MAG (unlikely: GT5 and GoW3). Without the last two the line-up for 2009 is (imo) worse than 2008 (still great, don't get me wrong). Final Fantasy in Japan will help sell some consoles as well, but I won't expect a million or more.
The release of GT5 and GoW3 in combination with a pricecut would absolutely help PS3, but even that won't help sell 8 million more than a year with so many great games as 2008.
I don't expect PS3 ever to pass the 360, because:
a) The potential market will get progressively more casual as the gen progresses, since hardcore gamers will buy early in the gen
b) 360 as the HD competitor will likely always be cheaper than PS3, while 90% of the library is the same.
But if 360 starts dropping of and PS3 will increase or remain stable it will be 2011 earliest.
