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I'll stand by my prediction:

Halo Wars: Bigger 1st week
Killzone 2: Bigger LTD

And that's only because the average Halo buyer will think Halo Wars is an FPS and he's gonna "PWN 7H053 N008Z0R5 4ND FR46 W17H H34D5H075!!!"... Hardcore Halo fans will buy the game blindly, and RTS fans that want to see a good console RTS (and that includes controls) will buy this game if it is good (I myself love RTSs and i hope this game is good, because i like Ensemble Studios and i would like to see good controls on a console RTS)...