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mibuokami on 19 January 2009
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FinalEvangelion said:
somibuokami said:
FinalEvangelion said:
Halo Wars will probably sell more.

Why? It has the name "Halo" in it. Even people that don't care about RTS games want it because "Halo" is in the title. In America, anything with "Halo" sells. Just like "Final Fantasy" or "Dragon Quest" in Japan.

 

Some of the FF and DQ spinoff were not really that well receive in Japan were they? (Dirge of Cerberus and DQ Swords came to mind) I think you give too much credit to a brand name outside its area of expertise. Sometimes it might work (Dissidia) and sometimes it might not. Given that console RTS can rightfully be considered semi-niche, I think there is a good chance that Halo Wars' sale (despite its brand  name and pedigree), might not be as stellar as the 'Halo' name might imagine.

 

 

DoC and DQS both did over 500k in Japan.  For what they were (absolute crap as rated by most gamers), that's quite a bit on brand name alone.  Japan has 127 mil. population while NA is around 340 mil.  You can do the math.

 

First week, I expect 500k WW for KZ2 (may have better legs if reception is good) and 1 mil. for Halo Wars.  The big problem is Sony never hypes their games enough to people outside the internet or fanboy community.  Microsoft knows how to hype their games so that the average person on the street will know the game.

Yes they were crap game which probably contributed, and the fact that Halo Wars will probably be a damn good game will also contribute. However I believe that their is a finite community who are actually interested in console RTS and once that audience has dried up, all that Halo Wars has going for it is a brand and while it will move number, it won't move the number neccessary to beat an anticipated FPS that is 1) a system exclusive, 2) will have good word of mouth 3) will have amazing graphic to attract newcomers.

Oddly, I pretty much agree on your initial sales estimate of both game, I'd push KZ2 a little though (probably 600k). However I think Halo Wars will have similiar sale pattern to Fable 2 (significant first week -especially in NA- with sharp drop from the second week onward) while KZ2 will catchup sometime thereafter as one of those premiere PS3 title that everyone will recommend and get if for no other reason that its eye candy.