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I predict 40k first week, having into consideration that is an unknown IP and how problematic Japanese market is with it. If it sells less than that, I'd be very worry. Come on, the Wii has an install base that is approaching to 8 Million in Japan, this game has to sell yes or yes.....in other case, just like I said, nobody could argue those people who say that quality games don't sell on Wii, because in fact, it would be true.