| seece said: Week end 27th December 2008 Halo 3 will be sitting at 8.9 million copies sold. 9 million will happen sometime in January. This is a milestone in itself but only 8 Playstation games have sold more than Halo 3.
Pretty good when you think both previous Playstation consoles have 100+million userbase, when Halo 3 nears the end of its sales it should be around 12+ easily. Meaning only THREE playstation games over the last 14 years will have higher sales than Halo 3. Grand Theft Auto Vice City + San Andreas + GT3.
Halo 3 reaching 10 million by 1/1/2010 I tracked Halo 3 sales pretty closely in 08 and it only fell below 20k 8/52 weeks ... in fact most weeks it was above 25k. With the higher sales the 360 will receive in Q1/2/3 I don't expect Halo 3 to fall short of 20k a week. Certainly NEVER below 10k. So ignoring the last 8 weeks of the year. 44 x 25k = 1.1 million 44 x 20k = 880k 44 x 15k = 660k
If it averages 25k for the first 10 months of the year it will hit 10 million. However I doubt it will so I will factor in holiday sales. Gears of War ONE sold around 95k last week, this is a 2 year old game. It did well this christmas because? well either A: because it had a sequal out or B: Its a great game. Both apply to Halo 3 later this year (in a sense) ODST will raise awareness of Halo 3, in fact you need Halo 3 to play ODST so I expect a bigger boost for Halo 3 than Gears 1. Microsoft will be hyping this and would it be surprising to see Halo 3 do 300K christmas week when everybody buying ODST needs to buy Halo 3 with it? Even if ODST has zero impact Halo 3 will still sell on average around 600k+ (thats what it has sold in the last 9 weeks)
Wow ... I'm even thinking about changing it to 10.5 million by 2010. |
nice analysis, but this is wrong
